Warning: include(/home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/../../core/src/Core/Router.php): Failed to open stream: No such file or directory in /home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/ClassLoader.php on line 571

Warning: include(): Failed opening '/home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/../../core/src/Core/Router.php' for inclusion (include_path='.:/opt/alt/php82/usr/share/pear:/opt/alt/php82/usr/share/php:/usr/share/pear:/usr/share/php') in /home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/ClassLoader.php on line 571

Warning: include(/home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/../../core/src/Controllers/SitemapController.php): Failed to open stream: No such file or directory in /home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/ClassLoader.php on line 571

Warning: include(): Failed opening '/home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/../../core/src/Controllers/SitemapController.php' for inclusion (include_path='.:/opt/alt/php82/usr/share/pear:/opt/alt/php82/usr/share/php:/usr/share/pear:/usr/share/php') in /home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/ClassLoader.php on line 571

Warning: include(/home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/../../core/src/Core/DB.php): Failed to open stream: No such file or directory in /home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/ClassLoader.php on line 571

Warning: include(): Failed opening '/home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/../../core/src/Core/DB.php' for inclusion (include_path='.:/opt/alt/php82/usr/share/pear:/opt/alt/php82/usr/share/php:/usr/share/pear:/usr/share/php') in /home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/ClassLoader.php on line 571
https://chinawatch.blog/research/report-69dab6cd72a35-2026-04-11China Watch Intelligenceen2026-04-11T21:02:05+00:00Rare Earths: China’s Processing Leverage and the Market Forces Undermining ItRare Earths, Supply Chains, China, Critical Minerals, Industrial Policyhttps://chinawatch.blog/research/report-69da9aafd978a-2026-04-11China Watch Intelligenceen2026-04-11T19:02:07+00:00China’s External Messaging Map: Multilateral Forums and Regional Mechanisms Dominate Xi Speech IndexChina, Diplomacy, Multilateralism, BRICS, APEChttps://chinawatch.blog/research/report-69da9a9aa8308-2026-04-11China Watch Intelligenceen2026-04-11T19:01:46+00:00Xi’s 2024–2026 Speech Index Signals Parallel Multilateral Push and 15th Five-Year Plan TransitionChina, Diplomacy, Global Governance, APEC, BRICS, SCO, FOCAC, Five-Year Planhttps://chinawatch.blog/research/report-69da9a67b6318-2026-04-11China Watch Intelligenceen2026-04-11T19:00:55+00:00Qiushi Index Signals Beijing’s External Messaging Priorities: APEC, BRICS, Climate, and the 15th Five-Year PlanQiushi, Xi Jinping, APEC, BRICS, 15th Five-Year Plan, Strategic Messaginghttps://chinawatch.blog/research/report-69da9a4f2193c-2026-04-11China Watch Intelligenceen2026-04-11T19:00:31+00:00Xi’s 2025–2026 Messaging: Cross-Strait Deterrence, APEC Economic Narrative, and SCO Governance AgendaXi Jinping, Taiwan, APEC, SCO, Global Governancehttps://chinawatch.blog/research/report-69da85b5d056d-2026-04-11China Watch Intelligenceen2026-04-11T17:32:37+00:00U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: High Caps, Hard Certifications, and Strategic Precedent RiskAI Chips, Export Controls, United States, China, Semiconductorshttps://chinawatch.blog/research/report-69da45ebc2123-2026-04-11China Watch Intelligenceen2026-04-11T13:00:27+00:00India’s Hormuz Dilemma: Ceasefire Relief, Persistent Transit UncertaintyIndia, Strait of Hormuz, Energy Security, Iran, UNCLOShttps://chinawatch.blog/research/report-69da0db19e624-2026-04-11China Watch Intelligenceen2026-04-11T09:00:33+00:00Southeast Asia’s AI Sovereignty Gap: Rapid Adoption, External Ownership, Rising Alignment PressureSoutheast Asia, Artificial Intelligence, Digital Governance, Cloud Infrastructure, ASEANhttps://chinawatch.blog/research/report-69d96beadf9be-2026-04-10China Watch Intelligenceen2026-04-10T21:30:18+00:00Prabowo’s Potential Russia Visit Signals Energy-Driven Deepening of Jakarta–Moscow TiesIndonesia, Russia, Energy Security, Geopolitics, Non-Alignmenthttps://chinawatch.blog/research/report-69d964fa31d1f-2026-04-10China Watch Intelligenceen2026-04-10T21:00:42+00:00China Youth Job Market: Post-2025 Peak Eases, Structural Pressures PersistChina, Youth Unemployment, Labor Market, Graduates, Macroeconomyhttps://chinawatch.blog/research/report-69d941c1ac663-2026-04-10China Watch Intelligenceen2026-04-10T18:30:25+00:00Thailand Expands Asset Seizures in Scam-Linked Money Laundering Probe, Raising Regional and Political StakesThailand, Cambodia, Cyber Scams, Anti-Money Laundering, Southeast Asiahttps://chinawatch.blog/research/report-69d92ca7ed3a9-2026-04-10China Watch Intelligenceen2026-04-10T17:00:23+00:00Xi–KMT Meeting Signals Broader Taiwan Outreach, but Preconditions and Military Pressure Limit BreakthroughsChina, Taiwan, Cross-Strait Relations, KMT, Xi Jinping, DPP, PLAhttps://chinawatch.blog/research/report-69d91798a901d-2026-04-10China Watch Intelligenceen2026-04-10T15:30:32+00:00Two-Track China: Scaling Renewables in Uzbekistan While Stabilizing Kyrgyzstan’s Power SystemChina, Central Asia, Energy Security, Renewables, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Belt and Road Initiativehttps://chinawatch.blog/research/report-69d8e6bb9dc11-2026-04-10China Watch Intelligenceen2026-04-10T12:02:03+00:00U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: High Compute Impact, Low EnforceabilityExport Controls, Semiconductors, AI Compute, United States, Chinahttps://chinawatch.blog/research/report-69d8ca3364521-2026-04-10China Watch Intelligenceen2026-04-10T10:00:19+00:00Japan’s Diplomatic Bluebook Downgrades China, Signalling a Harder Strategic PostureJapan, China, Taiwan, Diplomacy, Economic Statecrafthttps://chinawatch.blog/research/report-69d8c331643e2-2026-04-10China Watch Intelligenceen2026-04-10T09:30:25+00:00Alibaba Links ‘HappyHorse’ Video Model to New ATH AI Group, API Access PlannedAlibaba, Generative AI, Video Models, ATH, APIhttps://chinawatch.blog/research/report-69d8a70d5452e-2026-04-10China Watch Intelligenceen2026-04-10T07:30:21+00:00Australia’s High-Profile War Crimes Case Tests Rules of Engagement and Political CohesionAustralia, War Crimes Allegations, Rules of Engagement, Afghanistan, Civil-Military Relationshttps://chinawatch.blog/research/report-69d8a00b57523-2026-04-10China Watch Intelligenceen2026-04-10T07:00:27+00:00Pakistan’s High-Stakes Mediation: Islamabad Hosts U.S.-Iran Talks Under Alliance and Domestic PressurePakistan, Iran, United States, Saudi Arabia, Ceasefire, Regional Security, Energy, IMFhttps://chinawatch.blog/research/report-69d88aee1a8ea-2026-04-10China Watch Intelligenceen2026-04-10T05:30:22+00:00Myanmar’s Junta Leader Assumes Presidency, Cementing Civilian-Front ContinuityMyanmar, Min Aung Hlaing, Elections, Civil-Military Relations, China, Regional Diplomacyhttps://chinawatch.blog/research/report-69d836907e3d0-2026-04-09China Watch Intelligenceen2026-04-09T23:30:24+00:00China Youth Job Market: Post-Peak Easing Masks Persistent Graduate Absorption StrainChina, Youth Unemployment, Labor Market, Graduates, Macroeconomyhttps://chinawatch.blog/research/report-69d81acca8447-2026-04-09China Watch Intelligenceen2026-04-09T21:31:56+00:00Rare Earths: Processing Chokepoints, Strategic Leverage, and the Coming Diversification CycleRare Earths, Critical Minerals, Supply Chains, China, Industrial Policy, Defense Industry