// Global Analysis Archive
Source reporting describes the PLA’s December 2025 ‘Justice Mission 2025’ drills near Taiwan as the largest in over three years, emphasizing blockade-style tactics and air/sea access disruption. Follow-on readiness indicators in early 2026 suggest continued capability refinement and elevated coercion risks even absent confirmation of active exercises by mid-February 2026.
The source describes China’s late-December 2025 drills as the largest in over three years, emphasizing blockade simulation, closer-in fires, and high-tempo air operations while omitting aircraft carriers. Taiwan’s layered defense drills and U.S. calls for restraint highlight rising escalation risks and an intensifying action–reaction cycle.
China’s late-December 2025 drills around Taiwan reportedly moved closer to the island and emphasized route-denial mechanics consistent with selective blockade concepts. The activity also appeared designed to deter or complicate external involvement while exposing ongoing questions about the PLA’s ability to sustain prolonged blockade operations under contestation.
China’s Dec. 29–30, 2025 drills near Taiwan featured close-in activity and high sortie counts that analysts characterize as a practical demonstration of blockade-related tactics. The episode underscores coercive leverage through civilian disruption while leaving open questions about the PLA’s ability to sustain a prolonged blockade under contested conditions.
Late-December PLA drills operated closer to Taiwan’s coast and rehearsed elements consistent with blocking major air and sea routes, according to the source. Taiwan reported elevated sorties, median-line crossings, and civilian flight disruption, while analysts debated the PLA’s ability to sustain a prolonged blockade under contested conditions.
PLA Eastern Theater Command drills on Dec. 29–30 operated unusually close to Taiwan’s coast and were assessed by analysts as the largest since 2022, with activity consistent with rehearsing blockade elements. The episode disrupted civilian flights and underscored a central uncertainty highlighted in the source: whether the PLA can sustain a prolonged blockade under contested conditions and potential external interference.
China’s PLA conducted large-scale Dec. 29–30 drills around Taiwan, including activity within the contiguous zone and simulated disruption of key air and sea routes. The episode signals blockade-oriented coercive options and deterrence messaging toward potential external involvement, while leaving open questions about long-duration sustainment under contested conditions.
China’s Dec. 29–30 drills around Taiwan operated closer to the island and featured high sortie counts and simulated disruption of key air and sea routes, according to the source. Analysts frame the activity as a blockade-oriented rehearsal and a deterrence signal toward potential U.S. involvement, while questions remain about sustainment in a prolonged contingency.
China’s PLA conducted Dec. 29–30 drills around Taiwan that Taiwan’s defense authorities and analysts described as unusually close and among the largest in more than three years, emphasizing simulated disruption of key air and sea routes. The activity appears intended to strengthen blockade-relevant procedures while signaling deterrence toward potential U.S. involvement, even as sustainment under prolonged conflict conditions remains an open question in the source.
Late-December 2025 PLA exercises moved closer to Taiwan’s coast and rehearsed elements consistent with a blockade concept, while generating immediate civilian aviation disruption. The source indicates the drills also served as deterrent signaling toward potential U.S. involvement amid renewed arms and defense-spending dynamics.
Late-December 2025 PLA drills around Taiwan featured live rocket artillery fire within 24 nautical miles and expanded multi-zone activity assessed as the largest since 2022. The episode appears to rehearse blockade elements while signaling deterrence toward potential U.S. involvement, though sustainment over weeks remains uncertain according to the source.
China’s Dec. 29–30 drills around Taiwan, described as the largest in more than three years, included activity within 24 nautical miles of Taiwan’s coast and extensive air operations with numerous median line crossings. The source suggests the exercise pattern aligns with blockade-oriented rehearsal and deterrence signaling toward potential U.S. involvement, while leaving open questions about long-duration sustainment under contested conditions.
Late-December 2025 PLA drills around Taiwan expanded in proximity and geographic range, including fires into the contiguous zone and a surge in air sorties with significant median-line crossings, according to the source. Analysts assess the activity as a blockade-style rehearsal and a signal aimed at deterring external intervention, while questions remain about the PLA’s ability to sustain a prolonged blockade under contested conditions.
Late-December 2025 PLA drills around Taiwan expanded in proximity and geographic range, including activity in Taiwan’s contiguous zone and simulated interdiction of major air and sea routes. The episode underscores coercive signaling tied to U.S. arms support for Taiwan while leaving open questions about the PLA’s ability to sustain a prolonged blockade under contested conditions.
Source reporting describes the PLA’s December 2025 ‘Justice Mission 2025’ drills near Taiwan as the largest in over three years, emphasizing blockade-style tactics and air/sea access disruption. Follow-on readiness indicators in early 2026 suggest continued capability refinement and elevated coercion risks even absent confirmation of active exercises by mid-February 2026.
The source describes China’s late-December 2025 drills as the largest in over three years, emphasizing blockade simulation, closer-in fires, and high-tempo air operations while omitting aircraft carriers. Taiwan’s layered defense drills and U.S. calls for restraint highlight rising escalation risks and an intensifying action–reaction cycle.
China’s late-December 2025 drills around Taiwan reportedly moved closer to the island and emphasized route-denial mechanics consistent with selective blockade concepts. The activity also appeared designed to deter or complicate external involvement while exposing ongoing questions about the PLA’s ability to sustain prolonged blockade operations under contestation.
China’s Dec. 29–30, 2025 drills near Taiwan featured close-in activity and high sortie counts that analysts characterize as a practical demonstration of blockade-related tactics. The episode underscores coercive leverage through civilian disruption while leaving open questions about the PLA’s ability to sustain a prolonged blockade under contested conditions.
Late-December PLA drills operated closer to Taiwan’s coast and rehearsed elements consistent with blocking major air and sea routes, according to the source. Taiwan reported elevated sorties, median-line crossings, and civilian flight disruption, while analysts debated the PLA’s ability to sustain a prolonged blockade under contested conditions.
PLA Eastern Theater Command drills on Dec. 29–30 operated unusually close to Taiwan’s coast and were assessed by analysts as the largest since 2022, with activity consistent with rehearsing blockade elements. The episode disrupted civilian flights and underscored a central uncertainty highlighted in the source: whether the PLA can sustain a prolonged blockade under contested conditions and potential external interference.
China’s PLA conducted large-scale Dec. 29–30 drills around Taiwan, including activity within the contiguous zone and simulated disruption of key air and sea routes. The episode signals blockade-oriented coercive options and deterrence messaging toward potential external involvement, while leaving open questions about long-duration sustainment under contested conditions.
China’s Dec. 29–30 drills around Taiwan operated closer to the island and featured high sortie counts and simulated disruption of key air and sea routes, according to the source. Analysts frame the activity as a blockade-oriented rehearsal and a deterrence signal toward potential U.S. involvement, while questions remain about sustainment in a prolonged contingency.
China’s PLA conducted Dec. 29–30 drills around Taiwan that Taiwan’s defense authorities and analysts described as unusually close and among the largest in more than three years, emphasizing simulated disruption of key air and sea routes. The activity appears intended to strengthen blockade-relevant procedures while signaling deterrence toward potential U.S. involvement, even as sustainment under prolonged conflict conditions remains an open question in the source.
Late-December 2025 PLA exercises moved closer to Taiwan’s coast and rehearsed elements consistent with a blockade concept, while generating immediate civilian aviation disruption. The source indicates the drills also served as deterrent signaling toward potential U.S. involvement amid renewed arms and defense-spending dynamics.
Late-December 2025 PLA drills around Taiwan featured live rocket artillery fire within 24 nautical miles and expanded multi-zone activity assessed as the largest since 2022. The episode appears to rehearse blockade elements while signaling deterrence toward potential U.S. involvement, though sustainment over weeks remains uncertain according to the source.
China’s Dec. 29–30 drills around Taiwan, described as the largest in more than three years, included activity within 24 nautical miles of Taiwan’s coast and extensive air operations with numerous median line crossings. The source suggests the exercise pattern aligns with blockade-oriented rehearsal and deterrence signaling toward potential U.S. involvement, while leaving open questions about long-duration sustainment under contested conditions.
Late-December 2025 PLA drills around Taiwan expanded in proximity and geographic range, including fires into the contiguous zone and a surge in air sorties with significant median-line crossings, according to the source. Analysts assess the activity as a blockade-style rehearsal and a signal aimed at deterring external intervention, while questions remain about the PLA’s ability to sustain a prolonged blockade under contested conditions.
Late-December 2025 PLA drills around Taiwan expanded in proximity and geographic range, including activity in Taiwan’s contiguous zone and simulated interdiction of major air and sea routes. The episode underscores coercive signaling tied to U.S. arms support for Taiwan while leaving open questions about the PLA’s ability to sustain a prolonged blockade under contested conditions.
| ID | Title | Category | Date | Views | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RPT-1123 | PLA Blockade-Rehearsal Drills Intensify: ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Signals Sustained Cross-Strait Pressure | PLA | 2026-02-14 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-456 | Justice Mission 2025 Signals a More Credible PLA Blockade-Rehearsal Posture Around Taiwan | PLA | 2026-01-31 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-620 | Justice Mission 2025: PLA Near-Taiwan Drills Signal Blockade Rehearsal and Counter-Intervention Messaging | Taiwan Strait | 2025-12-14 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-1161 | PLA ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Drills Near Taiwan Highlight Blockade Signaling and Sustainment Questions | Taiwan Strait | 2025-12-09 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-1387 | PLA ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Drills Near Taiwan Highlight Route-Denial Signaling and Escalation Risk | Taiwan Strait | 2025-11-25 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-315 | PLA ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Drills Near Taiwan Signal Blockade Rehearsal and Deterrence Messaging | Taiwan Strait | 2025-11-16 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-595 | PLA ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Drills Near Taiwan Signal Blockade Options and Deterrence Messaging | Taiwan Strait | 2025-11-15 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-817 | PLA ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Drills Near Taiwan Signal Blockade Rehearsal and Deterrence Messaging | Taiwan Strait | 2025-11-03 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-1263 | PLA ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Drills Near Taiwan Signal Route-Denial Focus and Deterrence Messaging | Taiwan Strait | 2025-10-19 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-187 | PLA ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Drills Near Taiwan Signal Blockade Rehearsal and Anti-Intervention Messaging | Taiwan Strait | 2025-08-13 | 1 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-193 | PLA ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Drills Near Taiwan Signal Blockade Rehearsal and Counter-Intervention Messaging | Taiwan Strait | 2025-08-03 | 1 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-467 | PLA ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Drills Near Taiwan Signal Blockade Rehearsal and Deterrence Messaging | Taiwan Strait | 2025-07-23 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-457 | PLA ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Drills Near Taiwan Signal Blockade Rehearsal and Deterrence Messaging | Taiwan Strait | 2025-07-11 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-931 | Justice Mission 2025: PLA Drills Near Taiwan Signal Blockade Rehearsal and U.S. Deterrence Messaging | Taiwan Strait | 2025-07-05 | 0 | ACCESS » |