// Global Analysis Archive
A February 2026 source argues that no authoritative actor can confidently predict a PRC invasion of Taiwan by end-2026, with many assessments placing full-scale invasion below a 50% probability. The article suggests gray-zone pressure and potential limited escalation, including blockade scenarios, are more likely near-term pathways despite improving PLA capabilities and persistent reunification messaging.
The source argues that several international claims about the Taliban’s January 2026 criminal procedure code overstate what the Pashto statutory text explicitly establishes. It nonetheless assesses the code as strategically significant for consolidating judicial discretion, weakening procedural safeguards, and expanding reliance on uncodified jurisprudence.
A February 2026 source argues that no authoritative actor can confidently predict a PRC invasion of Taiwan by end-2026, with many assessments placing full-scale invasion below a 50% probability. The article suggests gray-zone pressure and potential limited escalation, including blockade scenarios, are more likely near-term pathways despite improving PLA capabilities and persistent reunification messaging.
The source argues that several international claims about the Taliban’s January 2026 criminal procedure code overstate what the Pashto statutory text explicitly establishes. It nonetheless assesses the code as strategically significant for consolidating judicial discretion, weakening procedural safeguards, and expanding reliance on uncodified jurisprudence.
| ID | Title | Category | Date | Views | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RPT-1126 | Taiwan 2026: Rising Risk, but Coercion Still Assessed More Likely Than Invasion | Taiwan | 2026-02-14 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-499 | Afghanistan’s January 2026 Criminal Procedure Code: What the Text Codifies vs. What Reporting Implies | Afghanistan | 2026-02-01 | 0 | ACCESS » |