Bangladesh’s 2026 Election: Islamist Consolidation, the India Variable, and Rising Violence Risk
The February 12, 2026 election is shaped by a Jamaat-led Islamist alliance testing the limits of first-past-the-post seat conversion, an India-centered narrative environment influencing voter sentiment and elite bargaining, and heightened risks of election-period violence. Post-election stability will depend on coalition discipline, security-force capacity, and the management of bilateral flashpoints including extradition sensitivities and water-sharing timelines cited by the source.