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Intelligence Archive // China Watch

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Research Library

// Global Analysis Archive

DISPLAYING 1-17 OF 17 RECORDS — TAGGED "Local Government Finance"
PAGE 1 / 1
China Feb 20, 2026

China Property Downturn Deepens Into 2026 as Inventory and Confidence Overhang Persist

Source-reported indicators show continued declines in home prices and a large inventory overhang, with S&P projecting weaker 2026 sales and further price drops. Policy support has reduced near-term project stress but appears insufficient to restore demand, leaving ongoing risks for developers, banks, and local-government finance.

China Property Feb 09, 2026

China Property in Early 2026: Stabilisation Push Meets Persistent Price and Sales Pressure

Source reporting indicates China’s property downturn persisted into early 2026, with continued price declines, weak sales, and heightened restructuring focus among major developers. Policymakers and local governments appear to be shifting toward stabilisation tools—potentially including mortgage support and inventory absorption—to rebuild confidence and support consumption.

China Property Feb 07, 2026

China Property in Early 2026: Stabilisation Push Meets Weak Demand and Restructuring Strain

SCMP topic-page items indicate China’s property downturn persisted into early 2026, with falling prices, weakening sales, and continued developer balance-sheet stress. Policymakers and cities appear to be shifting toward targeted stabilisation measures, but limited fiscal space and uncertain restructuring outcomes remain key constraints.

China Feb 02, 2026

China’s Property Downturn Extends Into 2026: Oversupply, Developer Stress, and Limited Policy Transmission

The source indicates China’s real estate slump persists into early 2026, with weakening sales, further price declines, and structural oversupply weighing on stabilization prospects. Policy tools such as project “whitelists” and inventory-to-affordable-housing programs face constrained uptake amid bank risk concerns and local fiscal limits, raising spillover risks to consumption and credit conditions.

China Feb 02, 2026

China Property Downturn Deepens in Early 2026 as Policy Support Struggles to Lift Demand

Source text indicates China’s real estate slump intensified in early 2026, with sharp sales declines among major developers and particularly severe weakness among offshore US-dollar bond issuers. Despite broad easing measures and financing programs, limited credit transmission and large inventory overhangs suggest a prolonged, consolidation-driven adjustment.

China Property Jan 27, 2026

China Property: Policy Shifts Toward Stabilisation as Prices, Credit Stress and Fiscal Pressures Persist

The source indicates China’s property downturn continued into late 2025 and January 2026, weighing on prices, consumption, and local fiscal conditions. Policymakers appear to be moving from incremental easing toward broader stabilisation, but demand recovery and restructuring outcomes remain key swing factors.

China Jan 27, 2026

China Property Downturn Enters 2026 as Oversupply and Local Fiscal Stress Constrain Stabilization

Source reporting indicates China elevated the property downturn to a top 2026 priority amid exceptionally high inventories, weak prices, and constrained local-government finances. Policy tools focused on project completion and inventory conversion appear to have limited net-new impact relative to the scale of oversupply, implying a prolonged and uneven adjustment.

China Jan 27, 2026

China Elevates Property Stabilization for 2026 as Inventory and Fiscal Pressures Persist

Source material indicates Beijing has made property-sector stabilization the top priority for 2026, emphasizing supply control, inventory reduction, and localized policy execution. Despite targeted tools such as PBOC lending facilities and the 2024 whitelist mechanism, weak economics, fiscal constraints, and confidence challenges suggest a difficult path to recovery.

China Property Jan 25, 2026

China Property: Policy Shifts Toward Stabilisation as Prices Slide and Fiscal Pressures Build

Source reporting from late 2025 to January 2026 indicates Beijing is moving from incremental easing toward a broader stabilisation posture as housing prices continue to decline and confidence remains fragile. Developer restructuring, local fiscal strain linked to weaker land revenues, and spillovers into retail and commercial property are emerging as key transmission channels to the wider economy.

China Jan 25, 2026

China Property Downturn Deepens: Secondary-Market Shift and Limited Policy Transmission Signal Multi-Year Adjustment

The source indicates China’s new-home market hit a decade low in 2025, with sharp declines in sales value, investment, starts, and completions alongside rising inventory. Policy mechanisms expanded since 2022 have had limited uptake or impact, supporting expectations of a prolonged adjustment extending into 2026.

China Jan 23, 2026

China’s New-Home Market Hits Decade Low as Demand Shifts to Resales

According to the source, China’s new commercial housing sales value fell 12.6% in 2025 to 8.39 trillion yuan, the lowest level in a decade, alongside broad declines in investment, starts, and completions. Secondary-market transactions proved more resilient, with secondhand homes comprising about 65% of sales in 30 major cities, signaling a structural shift away from new developments.

China Nov 09, 2025

China Property Downturn Enters 2026: Stabilization Priority Amid Record Inventories and Local Fiscal Strain

Source material indicates China’s real estate downturn persisted through late 2025, with steep price declines, elevated inventories, and ongoing developer restructuring. Policy tools have focused on stabilization and project completion, but limited fresh credit and weak demand suggest a slow normalization path into 2026.

China Oct 24, 2025

China Property Downturn: Targeted Stabilization Amid Structural Demand Reset

The source indicates China’s property downturn continued through 2024–2025, subtracting roughly 2 percentage points from annual GDP growth while sales and prices weakened. Policy has focused on project-level completion and incremental easing, reducing hard-landing risk but offering limited support for a rapid market rebound.

China Oct 14, 2025

China’s New-Home Market Hits Decade Low as Demand Shifts to Secondhand Stock

According to the source, China’s new commercial housing sales value fell 12.6% in 2025 to 8.39 trillion yuan, a 10-year low, alongside steep declines in investment, starts, and completions. Secondary-market transactions appear more resilient, with secondhand homes comprising about 65% of sales in 30 major cities, reinforcing a structural shift away from new developments.

China Sep 09, 2025

China’s Property Downturn Enters 2026 as a Core Macro Stability Test

Source material indicates China is prioritizing property-sector stabilization for 2026 amid steep price declines, historically high inventory, and persistent developer stress. The downturn is increasingly linked to local-government fiscal strain and potential spillovers to LGFVs and banking stability.

China Aug 24, 2025

China’s 2026 Property Stabilization Push Faces Inventory Overhang and Fiscal Constraints

The source indicates Beijing has made property stabilization a top economic task for 2026, emphasizing supply control, inventory reduction, and locally tailored measures. Elevated inventories, falling prices through December 2025, and constrained local-government and bank balance sheets suggest a gradual and uneven recovery path.

China Aug 08, 2025

China’s New-Home Market Hits Decade Low as Demand Shifts to Secondhand Housing

Source-cited data show China’s new commercial housing sales value fell 12.6% in 2025 to 8.39 trillion yuan, the lowest level in a decade, alongside broad declines in investment, starts, and completions. Secondary-market transactions proved more resilient, with secondhand homes comprising about 65% of sales in 30 major cities, signaling a structural shift in buyer preferences and market clearing.

China

China Property Downturn Deepens Into 2026 as Inventory and Confidence Overhang Persist

Source-reported indicators show continued declines in home prices and a large inventory overhang, with S&P projecting weaker 2026 sales and further price drops. Policy support has reduced near-term project stress but appears insufficient to restore demand, leaving ongoing risks for developers, banks, and local-government finance.

Feb 20, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
China Property

China Property in Early 2026: Stabilisation Push Meets Persistent Price and Sales Pressure

Source reporting indicates China’s property downturn persisted into early 2026, with continued price declines, weak sales, and heightened restructuring focus among major developers. Policymakers and local governments appear to be shifting toward stabilisation tools—potentially including mortgage support and inventory absorption—to rebuild confidence and support consumption.

Feb 09, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
China Property

China Property in Early 2026: Stabilisation Push Meets Weak Demand and Restructuring Strain

SCMP topic-page items indicate China’s property downturn persisted into early 2026, with falling prices, weakening sales, and continued developer balance-sheet stress. Policymakers and cities appear to be shifting toward targeted stabilisation measures, but limited fiscal space and uncertain restructuring outcomes remain key constraints.

Feb 07, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
China

China’s Property Downturn Extends Into 2026: Oversupply, Developer Stress, and Limited Policy Transmission

The source indicates China’s real estate slump persists into early 2026, with weakening sales, further price declines, and structural oversupply weighing on stabilization prospects. Policy tools such as project “whitelists” and inventory-to-affordable-housing programs face constrained uptake amid bank risk concerns and local fiscal limits, raising spillover risks to consumption and credit conditions.

Feb 02, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
China

China Property Downturn Deepens in Early 2026 as Policy Support Struggles to Lift Demand

Source text indicates China’s real estate slump intensified in early 2026, with sharp sales declines among major developers and particularly severe weakness among offshore US-dollar bond issuers. Despite broad easing measures and financing programs, limited credit transmission and large inventory overhangs suggest a prolonged, consolidation-driven adjustment.

Feb 02, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
China Property

China Property: Policy Shifts Toward Stabilisation as Prices, Credit Stress and Fiscal Pressures Persist

The source indicates China’s property downturn continued into late 2025 and January 2026, weighing on prices, consumption, and local fiscal conditions. Policymakers appear to be moving from incremental easing toward broader stabilisation, but demand recovery and restructuring outcomes remain key swing factors.

Jan 27, 2026 1 views
ACCESS »
China

China Property Downturn Enters 2026 as Oversupply and Local Fiscal Stress Constrain Stabilization

Source reporting indicates China elevated the property downturn to a top 2026 priority amid exceptionally high inventories, weak prices, and constrained local-government finances. Policy tools focused on project completion and inventory conversion appear to have limited net-new impact relative to the scale of oversupply, implying a prolonged and uneven adjustment.

Jan 27, 2026 2 views
ACCESS »
China

China Elevates Property Stabilization for 2026 as Inventory and Fiscal Pressures Persist

Source material indicates Beijing has made property-sector stabilization the top priority for 2026, emphasizing supply control, inventory reduction, and localized policy execution. Despite targeted tools such as PBOC lending facilities and the 2024 whitelist mechanism, weak economics, fiscal constraints, and confidence challenges suggest a difficult path to recovery.

Jan 27, 2026 1 views
ACCESS »
China Property

China Property: Policy Shifts Toward Stabilisation as Prices Slide and Fiscal Pressures Build

Source reporting from late 2025 to January 2026 indicates Beijing is moving from incremental easing toward a broader stabilisation posture as housing prices continue to decline and confidence remains fragile. Developer restructuring, local fiscal strain linked to weaker land revenues, and spillovers into retail and commercial property are emerging as key transmission channels to the wider economy.

Jan 25, 2026 1 views
ACCESS »
China

China Property Downturn Deepens: Secondary-Market Shift and Limited Policy Transmission Signal Multi-Year Adjustment

The source indicates China’s new-home market hit a decade low in 2025, with sharp declines in sales value, investment, starts, and completions alongside rising inventory. Policy mechanisms expanded since 2022 have had limited uptake or impact, supporting expectations of a prolonged adjustment extending into 2026.

Jan 25, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
China

China’s New-Home Market Hits Decade Low as Demand Shifts to Resales

According to the source, China’s new commercial housing sales value fell 12.6% in 2025 to 8.39 trillion yuan, the lowest level in a decade, alongside broad declines in investment, starts, and completions. Secondary-market transactions proved more resilient, with secondhand homes comprising about 65% of sales in 30 major cities, signaling a structural shift away from new developments.

Jan 23, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
China

China Property Downturn Enters 2026: Stabilization Priority Amid Record Inventories and Local Fiscal Strain

Source material indicates China’s real estate downturn persisted through late 2025, with steep price declines, elevated inventories, and ongoing developer restructuring. Policy tools have focused on stabilization and project completion, but limited fresh credit and weak demand suggest a slow normalization path into 2026.

Nov 09, 2025 0 views
ACCESS »
China

China Property Downturn: Targeted Stabilization Amid Structural Demand Reset

The source indicates China’s property downturn continued through 2024–2025, subtracting roughly 2 percentage points from annual GDP growth while sales and prices weakened. Policy has focused on project-level completion and incremental easing, reducing hard-landing risk but offering limited support for a rapid market rebound.

Oct 24, 2025 1 views
ACCESS »
China

China’s New-Home Market Hits Decade Low as Demand Shifts to Secondhand Stock

According to the source, China’s new commercial housing sales value fell 12.6% in 2025 to 8.39 trillion yuan, a 10-year low, alongside steep declines in investment, starts, and completions. Secondary-market transactions appear more resilient, with secondhand homes comprising about 65% of sales in 30 major cities, reinforcing a structural shift away from new developments.

Oct 14, 2025 1 views
ACCESS »
China

China’s Property Downturn Enters 2026 as a Core Macro Stability Test

Source material indicates China is prioritizing property-sector stabilization for 2026 amid steep price declines, historically high inventory, and persistent developer stress. The downturn is increasingly linked to local-government fiscal strain and potential spillovers to LGFVs and banking stability.

Sep 09, 2025 0 views
ACCESS »
China

China’s 2026 Property Stabilization Push Faces Inventory Overhang and Fiscal Constraints

The source indicates Beijing has made property stabilization a top economic task for 2026, emphasizing supply control, inventory reduction, and locally tailored measures. Elevated inventories, falling prices through December 2025, and constrained local-government and bank balance sheets suggest a gradual and uneven recovery path.

Aug 24, 2025 1 views
ACCESS »
China

China’s New-Home Market Hits Decade Low as Demand Shifts to Secondhand Housing

Source-cited data show China’s new commercial housing sales value fell 12.6% in 2025 to 8.39 trillion yuan, the lowest level in a decade, alongside broad declines in investment, starts, and completions. Secondary-market transactions proved more resilient, with secondhand homes comprising about 65% of sales in 30 major cities, signaling a structural shift in buyer preferences and market clearing.

Aug 08, 2025 0 views
ACCESS »
ID Title Category Date Views
RPT-1455 China Property Downturn Deepens Into 2026 as Inventory and Confidence Overhang Persist China 2026-02-20 0 ACCESS »
RPT-896 China Property in Early 2026: Stabilisation Push Meets Persistent Price and Sales Pressure China Property 2026-02-09 0 ACCESS »
RPT-778 China Property in Early 2026: Stabilisation Push Meets Weak Demand and Restructuring Strain China Property 2026-02-07 0 ACCESS »
RPT-561 China’s Property Downturn Extends Into 2026: Oversupply, Developer Stress, and Limited Policy Transmission China 2026-02-02 0 ACCESS »
RPT-547 China Property Downturn Deepens in Early 2026 as Policy Support Struggles to Lift Demand China 2026-02-02 0 ACCESS »
RPT-268 China Property: Policy Shifts Toward Stabilisation as Prices, Credit Stress and Fiscal Pressures Persist China Property 2026-01-27 1 ACCESS »
RPT-266 China Property Downturn Enters 2026 as Oversupply and Local Fiscal Stress Constrain Stabilization China 2026-01-27 2 ACCESS »
RPT-253 China Elevates Property Stabilization for 2026 as Inventory and Fiscal Pressures Persist China 2026-01-27 1 ACCESS »
RPT-170 China Property: Policy Shifts Toward Stabilisation as Prices Slide and Fiscal Pressures Build China Property 2026-01-25 1 ACCESS »
RPT-166 China Property Downturn Deepens: Secondary-Market Shift and Limited Policy Transmission Signal Multi-Year Adjustment China 2026-01-25 0 ACCESS »
RPT-103 China’s New-Home Market Hits Decade Low as Demand Shifts to Resales China 2026-01-23 0 ACCESS »
RPT-309 China Property Downturn Enters 2026: Stabilization Priority Amid Record Inventories and Local Fiscal Strain China 2025-11-09 0 ACCESS »
RPT-235 China Property Downturn: Targeted Stabilization Amid Structural Demand Reset China 2025-10-24 1 ACCESS »
RPT-146 China’s New-Home Market Hits Decade Low as Demand Shifts to Secondhand Stock China 2025-10-14 1 ACCESS »
RPT-910 China’s Property Downturn Enters 2026 as a Core Macro Stability Test China 2025-09-09 0 ACCESS »
RPT-256 China’s 2026 Property Stabilization Push Faces Inventory Overhang and Fiscal Constraints China 2025-08-24 1 ACCESS »
RPT-168 China’s New-Home Market Hits Decade Low as Demand Shifts to Secondhand Housing China 2025-08-08 0 ACCESS »
Page 1 of 1 • 17 total reports