// Global Analysis Archive
A Small Wars Journal article dated 3 Feb 2026 links China’s largest military exercise around Taiwan in years to renewed uncertainty about whether President Trump would employ U.S. military force in a crisis. The piece highlights how perceptions of U.S. political intent and strategic ambiguity can shape deterrence stability in the Taiwan Strait.
MERICS’ Top China Risks 2026 argues Europe faces heightened exposure to US–China bilateral bargaining, tougher competitive and regulatory conditions for European firms, and persistent dependencies in critical materials and tech inputs. The report also highlights elevated Indo-Pacific military activity and domestic Chinese socio-economic pressures as factors that could increase external assertiveness and disruption risk.
A Small Wars Journal article dated 3 Feb 2026 links China’s largest military exercise around Taiwan in years to renewed uncertainty about whether President Trump would employ U.S. military force in a crisis. The piece highlights how perceptions of U.S. political intent and strategic ambiguity can shape deterrence stability in the Taiwan Strait.
MERICS’ Top China Risks 2026 argues Europe faces heightened exposure to US–China bilateral bargaining, tougher competitive and regulatory conditions for European firms, and persistent dependencies in critical materials and tech inputs. The report also highlights elevated Indo-Pacific military activity and domestic Chinese socio-economic pressures as factors that could increase external assertiveness and disruption risk.
| ID | Title | Category | Date | Views | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RPT-671 | PLA Exercises Near Taiwan Reignite Questions Over U.S. Resolve and Strategic Ambiguity | Taiwan | 2026-02-04 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-117 | Europe’s 2026 China Risk Outlook: Strategic Marginalization, Supply-Chain Chokepoints, and Rising Indo-Pacific Volatility | China | 2025-09-09 | 1 | ACCESS » |