// Global Analysis Archive
According to the source, US-led Geneva negotiations in February 2026 have stalled, reflecting long-standing incompatibilities over territory, sovereignty, and security alignment. Past mediation efforts show limited success on transactional measures (e.g., grain corridors, prisoner exchanges) but repeated failure to secure a comprehensive settlement.
Russia and Ukraine are set to hold US-brokered trilateral talks in Geneva on February 17–18, 2026, following earlier rounds in Abu Dhabi focused on buffer zones and ceasefire monitoring. The source indicates territorial demands in Donetsk and Ukraine’s pursuit of Western security guarantees remain the central obstacles amid continued infrastructure strikes and active diplomacy at the Munich Security Conference.
The source argues that North Korean soldiers captured in Ukraine present a precedent-setting clash between Geneva Convention repatriation expectations and the non-refoulement principle. It assesses that credible fear of reprisal makes return to North Korea or Russia difficult, making prolonged Ukrainian custody and eventual transfer to South Korea the most likely outcome.
According to the source, US-led Geneva negotiations in February 2026 have stalled, reflecting long-standing incompatibilities over territory, sovereignty, and security alignment. Past mediation efforts show limited success on transactional measures (e.g., grain corridors, prisoner exchanges) but repeated failure to secure a comprehensive settlement.
Russia and Ukraine are set to hold US-brokered trilateral talks in Geneva on February 17–18, 2026, following earlier rounds in Abu Dhabi focused on buffer zones and ceasefire monitoring. The source indicates territorial demands in Donetsk and Ukraine’s pursuit of Western security guarantees remain the central obstacles amid continued infrastructure strikes and active diplomacy at the Munich Security Conference.
The source argues that North Korean soldiers captured in Ukraine present a precedent-setting clash between Geneva Convention repatriation expectations and the non-refoulement principle. It assesses that credible fear of reprisal makes return to North Korea or Russia difficult, making prolonged Ukrainian custody and eventual transfer to South Korea the most likely outcome.
| ID | Title | Category | Date | Views | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RPT-1328 | Geneva Talks Reopen a Crowded Mediation Track, but Territory Remains the Core Impasse | Russia-Ukraine War | 2026-02-18 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-1117 | Geneva Trilateral Talks Signal Push for Ceasefire Mechanics as Donbas Dispute Hardens | Russia-Ukraine War | 2026-02-13 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-915 | North Korean POWs in Ukraine: Non-Refoulement, Repatriation Norms, and a Likely Transfer to South Korea | North Korea | 2025-07-11 | 0 | ACCESS » |