// Global Analysis Archive
CPCA expects China’s passenger vehicle sales to reach the lowest point of 2026 in February due to an extended Lunar New Year holiday that reduces effective production and selling days. January 2026 data show weaker domestic retail demand but record exports, with NEVs nearing half of all shipments and trade negotiations encouraging a shift toward overseas industrial expansion.
The European Commission approved a tariff exemption for Volkswagen’s China-made Cupra Tavascan in exchange for minimum pricing, quotas, and related commitments, marking the first exemption since the EU’s 2024 EV tariff regime. The move is expected to prompt Chinese and other automakers producing in China to seek similar model-specific deals, reshaping EU market access and trade dynamics.
CPCA expects China’s passenger vehicle sales to reach the year’s lowest point in February 2026 due to an extended Lunar New Year holiday and constrained effective selling time. January 2026 data in the source show weaker domestic retail demand but record exports, with NEV shipments nearly half of total exports and policy negotiations shaping market access.
CPCA expects February 2026 to be the year’s lowest point for passenger vehicle sales due to an extended Lunar New Year holiday that reduces effective production and retail days. January data show weaker domestic retail and wholesale volumes alongside record exports, with NEVs nearing half of all shipments and trade negotiations encouraging a shift toward overseas industrial expansion.
CPCA expects China’s passenger vehicle sales to reach the lowest point of 2026 in February due to an extended Lunar New Year holiday that reduces effective production and selling days. January 2026 data in the source show weaker domestic retail performance alongside record exports, with NEV exporters increasingly pursuing overseas industrial-chain deployment amid evolving tariff arrangements.
CPCA expects China’s passenger vehicle sales to reach the lowest point of 2026 in February due to an extended Lunar New Year holiday that reduces effective production and selling days. January 2026 data cited by the source shows weaker domestic retail but record exports, alongside an emerging shift in NEV exports toward overseas industrial-chain expansion amid tariff negotiations.
China’s market regulator issued guidance to curb below-cost pricing and other destabilizing practices in the auto sector after January passenger-car sales fell 19.5% year-on-year, according to CAAM. While domestic demand weakens amid reduced EV incentives and subsidy uncertainty, exports rose 49% year-on-year, reinforcing an increasingly export-led growth strategy for major automakers.
According to the source metadata, China’s economy is expected to rely primarily on exports for growth in 2025 while domestic demand remains weak. The outlook also points to a lower interest-rate environment and continued challenges in the real-estate sector, implying elevated exposure to external shocks and confidence constraints at home.
The source argues China’s reported 5% growth in 2025 was heavily supported by a record $1.19 trillion trade surplus, while domestic consumption, investment, and the property sector remained weak. It suggests 2026 risks include tighter external trade conditions, deflationary pressures, and policy trade-offs between stimulus-driven growth and rising debt.
A reported Canada–China preliminary trade arrangement would expand Canadian oil exports while sharply reducing tariffs on Chinese EV imports, potentially reshaping Canada’s trade diversification strategy. The source highlights risks to North American automotive coordination, domestic competitiveness, and connected-vehicle data security amid China’s growing dominance in EV and battery supply chains.
US exports to China supported 1.06 million American jobs and totaled $151.3B in goods (2022) plus $39.6B in services (2021), but growth is lagging other major markets. Agriculture and pharmaceuticals are expanding while semiconductors, energy, and mobility-driven services face policy, geopolitical, and structural headwinds.
China successfully launched Algeria’s first communications satellite, Alcomsat-1, positioning the project as a flagship outcome of the China–Algeria comprehensive strategic partnership. The end-to-end export model strengthens China’s competitiveness in Arab markets while creating long-term dependency through critical national communications services.
MERICS data indicate China’s 2025 growth relied heavily on exports and industrial upgrading as consumption and property-linked activity remained weak. Trade reorientation away from North America toward Europe and other regions raises the likelihood of stronger external policy pushback in 2026.
MERICS data show China’s confidence and equity markets improving in Q4 2025, while GDP growth slows and domestic demand remains constrained by property-sector weakness and cautious households. Exports contributed a large share of 2025 growth and are increasingly redirected toward ASEAN, Europe, and Africa, raising the likelihood of stronger trade-policy pushback in third markets.
The source reports that in 2025 South Korea’s K-culture exports reached $37.94 billion, making culture the country’s fourth-largest export sector as K-Food and K-Beauty entered the top ten export categories. While this signals diversification beyond manufacturing, the document highlights risks from demand cyclicality, market concentration in the U.S.-China-Japan corridor, and SME exposure to trade and regulatory shocks.
According to the source, China met its 2025 growth target largely on the back of a record $1.19 trillion trade surplus and exports contributing roughly one-third of growth. The document suggests domestic demand remains constrained by the property downturn, deflationary pressures, and debt headwinds, while expanding trade barriers threaten the durability of export-led momentum.
CPCA expects China’s passenger vehicle sales to reach the lowest point of 2026 in February due to an extended Lunar New Year holiday that reduces effective production and selling days. January 2026 data show weaker domestic retail demand but record exports, with NEVs nearing half of all shipments and trade negotiations encouraging a shift toward overseas industrial expansion.
The European Commission approved a tariff exemption for Volkswagen’s China-made Cupra Tavascan in exchange for minimum pricing, quotas, and related commitments, marking the first exemption since the EU’s 2024 EV tariff regime. The move is expected to prompt Chinese and other automakers producing in China to seek similar model-specific deals, reshaping EU market access and trade dynamics.
CPCA expects China’s passenger vehicle sales to reach the year’s lowest point in February 2026 due to an extended Lunar New Year holiday and constrained effective selling time. January 2026 data in the source show weaker domestic retail demand but record exports, with NEV shipments nearly half of total exports and policy negotiations shaping market access.
CPCA expects February 2026 to be the year’s lowest point for passenger vehicle sales due to an extended Lunar New Year holiday that reduces effective production and retail days. January data show weaker domestic retail and wholesale volumes alongside record exports, with NEVs nearing half of all shipments and trade negotiations encouraging a shift toward overseas industrial expansion.
CPCA expects China’s passenger vehicle sales to reach the lowest point of 2026 in February due to an extended Lunar New Year holiday that reduces effective production and selling days. January 2026 data in the source show weaker domestic retail performance alongside record exports, with NEV exporters increasingly pursuing overseas industrial-chain deployment amid evolving tariff arrangements.
CPCA expects China’s passenger vehicle sales to reach the lowest point of 2026 in February due to an extended Lunar New Year holiday that reduces effective production and selling days. January 2026 data cited by the source shows weaker domestic retail but record exports, alongside an emerging shift in NEV exports toward overseas industrial-chain expansion amid tariff negotiations.
China’s market regulator issued guidance to curb below-cost pricing and other destabilizing practices in the auto sector after January passenger-car sales fell 19.5% year-on-year, according to CAAM. While domestic demand weakens amid reduced EV incentives and subsidy uncertainty, exports rose 49% year-on-year, reinforcing an increasingly export-led growth strategy for major automakers.
According to the source metadata, China’s economy is expected to rely primarily on exports for growth in 2025 while domestic demand remains weak. The outlook also points to a lower interest-rate environment and continued challenges in the real-estate sector, implying elevated exposure to external shocks and confidence constraints at home.
The source argues China’s reported 5% growth in 2025 was heavily supported by a record $1.19 trillion trade surplus, while domestic consumption, investment, and the property sector remained weak. It suggests 2026 risks include tighter external trade conditions, deflationary pressures, and policy trade-offs between stimulus-driven growth and rising debt.
A reported Canada–China preliminary trade arrangement would expand Canadian oil exports while sharply reducing tariffs on Chinese EV imports, potentially reshaping Canada’s trade diversification strategy. The source highlights risks to North American automotive coordination, domestic competitiveness, and connected-vehicle data security amid China’s growing dominance in EV and battery supply chains.
US exports to China supported 1.06 million American jobs and totaled $151.3B in goods (2022) plus $39.6B in services (2021), but growth is lagging other major markets. Agriculture and pharmaceuticals are expanding while semiconductors, energy, and mobility-driven services face policy, geopolitical, and structural headwinds.
China successfully launched Algeria’s first communications satellite, Alcomsat-1, positioning the project as a flagship outcome of the China–Algeria comprehensive strategic partnership. The end-to-end export model strengthens China’s competitiveness in Arab markets while creating long-term dependency through critical national communications services.
MERICS data indicate China’s 2025 growth relied heavily on exports and industrial upgrading as consumption and property-linked activity remained weak. Trade reorientation away from North America toward Europe and other regions raises the likelihood of stronger external policy pushback in 2026.
MERICS data show China’s confidence and equity markets improving in Q4 2025, while GDP growth slows and domestic demand remains constrained by property-sector weakness and cautious households. Exports contributed a large share of 2025 growth and are increasingly redirected toward ASEAN, Europe, and Africa, raising the likelihood of stronger trade-policy pushback in third markets.
The source reports that in 2025 South Korea’s K-culture exports reached $37.94 billion, making culture the country’s fourth-largest export sector as K-Food and K-Beauty entered the top ten export categories. While this signals diversification beyond manufacturing, the document highlights risks from demand cyclicality, market concentration in the U.S.-China-Japan corridor, and SME exposure to trade and regulatory shocks.
According to the source, China met its 2025 growth target largely on the back of a record $1.19 trillion trade surplus and exports contributing roughly one-third of growth. The document suggests domestic demand remains constrained by the property downturn, deflationary pressures, and debt headwinds, while expanding trade barriers threaten the durability of export-led momentum.
| ID | Title | Category | Date | Views | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RPT-1218 | China Auto Market Faces February 2026 Trough as Exports Hit Record Highs | China Auto Market | 2026-02-16 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-1217 | EU Opens Model-by-Model Tariff Exemptions for China-Made EVs After Volkswagen Cupra Breakthrough | EU-China Trade | 2026-02-16 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-1155 | China Auto Market Faces February 2026 Trough as Exports Hit Record and NEV Strategy Shifts Overseas | China Auto Market | 2026-02-14 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-1135 | China Auto Market Faces February 2026 Sales Trough as Holiday Disruptions Collide With Strong NEV Export Momentum | China Auto Market | 2026-02-14 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-1105 | China Auto Market Faces February 2026 Trough as Exports Hit Record High | China Auto Market | 2026-02-13 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-1101 | China Auto Market Faces February 2026 Trough as Exports Hit Record and NEV Strategy Shifts Overseas | China Auto Market | 2026-02-13 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-1031 | China Moves to Rein In Auto Price War as Domestic Sales Slide and Exports Surge | China | 2026-02-12 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-658 | China 2025 Outlook: Export-Led Growth Amid Weak Domestic Demand and Property Headwinds | China | 2026-02-04 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-602 | Record Trade Surplus, Soft Domestic Demand: China’s 2025 Growth Buffer Faces 2026 Headwinds | China Economy | 2026-02-03 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-496 | Canada’s Oil-for-EVs Trade Pivot With Beijing Raises Alliance and Security Questions | Canada | 2026-02-01 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-88 | US Exports to China: Resilient in Agriculture and Pharma, Eroding in Tech and Travel | US-China Trade | 2026-01-23 | 6 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-34 | China’s Alcomsat-1 Launch Signals Expanding Space Influence in the Arab World | China Space | 2026-01-19 | 1 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-293 | China Q4 2025: Export-Led Resilience Masks Property and Consumption Weakness | China economy | 2025-10-18 | 1 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-238 | China’s Late-2025 Growth Mix: Export Strength Masks Domestic Weakness as Trade Reorients Toward Europe | China economy | 2025-10-05 | 1 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-965 | South Korea’s K-Culture Exports Emerge as a Fourth Pillar Amid Trade Fragmentation | South Korea | 2025-09-26 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-537 | China’s 2025 Export Surge Masks Deep Domestic Weakness as Trade Frictions Rise | China Economy | 2025-09-09 | 0 | ACCESS » |