// Global Analysis Archive
A January 2026 BIS final rule shifts certain sub-threshold advanced AI chips destined for China and Macau from a presumption of denial to case-by-case licensing, contingent on strict supply, end-use, and independent testing certifications. A parallel Section 232 action imposes a 25% tariff on semiconductors with similar performance thresholds and leaves open the possibility of broader tariff expansion.
January 2026 U.S. actions combine a case-by-case export licensing posture for certain advanced chips to China/Macau with a 25% Section 232 tariff that often requires chips to route through the United States. The framework incentivizes U.S. semiconductor production and domestic end uses, while raising costs and compliance burdens for export-oriented electronics manufacturing.
A January 2026 BIS final rule shifts certain sub-threshold advanced AI chips destined for China and Macau from a presumption of denial to case-by-case licensing, contingent on strict supply, end-use, and independent testing certifications. A parallel Section 232 action imposes a 25% tariff on semiconductors with similar performance thresholds and leaves open the possibility of broader tariff expansion.
January 2026 U.S. actions combine a case-by-case export licensing posture for certain advanced chips to China/Macau with a 25% Section 232 tariff that often requires chips to route through the United States. The framework incentivizes U.S. semiconductor production and domestic end uses, while raising costs and compliance burdens for export-oriented electronics manufacturing.
| ID | Title | Category | Date | Views | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RPT-1090 | BIS Opens Narrow Case-by-Case Path for Sub-Threshold AI Chip Exports to China and Macau, Paired with Section 232 Tariff Signal | Export Controls | 2026-02-13 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-111 | U.S. Builds a Tariff-and-Licensing Gate for Advanced Chips Bound for China and Macau | Export Controls | 2026-01-23 | 1 | ACCESS » |