// Global Analysis Archive
According to the source, China’s December 29–30, 2025 exercises near Taiwan featured live-fire activity and simulated blockade operations, marking the largest-scale drills in over three years. Taiwan’s subsequent high-visibility defensive drills and U.S. calls for de-escalation highlight a sustained signaling cycle with elevated operational and civilian-disruption risks.
Source reporting describes late-December 2025 PLA drills near Taiwan as a large-scale demonstration of blockade-relevant capabilities, including stand-off fires and high sortie rates with reported civil aviation disruption. The activity fits a broader post-2022 pattern of normalized encirclement operations, while questions remain about sustainability under logistics constraints and potential external interference.
China’s PLA conducted Dec. 29–30 drills around Taiwan that Taiwan’s defense authorities and analysts described as unusually close and among the largest in more than three years, emphasizing simulated disruption of key air and sea routes. The activity appears intended to strengthen blockade-relevant procedures while signaling deterrence toward potential U.S. involvement, even as sustainment under prolonged conflict conditions remains an open question in the source.
The source argues that China’s late-2025 Justice Mission exercises mark a qualitative escalation by normalizing PLA and China Coast Guard activity inside Taiwan’s contiguous zone, eroding a key buffer short of territorial waters. This shift increases miscalculation risk, strengthens blockade-rehearsal signaling, and exposes a gap in partner messaging that has not explicitly addressed the new operational threshold.
According to the source, China’s December 29–30, 2025 exercises near Taiwan featured live-fire activity and simulated blockade operations, marking the largest-scale drills in over three years. Taiwan’s subsequent high-visibility defensive drills and U.S. calls for de-escalation highlight a sustained signaling cycle with elevated operational and civilian-disruption risks.
Source reporting describes late-December 2025 PLA drills near Taiwan as a large-scale demonstration of blockade-relevant capabilities, including stand-off fires and high sortie rates with reported civil aviation disruption. The activity fits a broader post-2022 pattern of normalized encirclement operations, while questions remain about sustainability under logistics constraints and potential external interference.
China’s PLA conducted Dec. 29–30 drills around Taiwan that Taiwan’s defense authorities and analysts described as unusually close and among the largest in more than three years, emphasizing simulated disruption of key air and sea routes. The activity appears intended to strengthen blockade-relevant procedures while signaling deterrence toward potential U.S. involvement, even as sustainment under prolonged conflict conditions remains an open question in the source.
The source argues that China’s late-2025 Justice Mission exercises mark a qualitative escalation by normalizing PLA and China Coast Guard activity inside Taiwan’s contiguous zone, eroding a key buffer short of territorial waters. This shift increases miscalculation risk, strengthens blockade-rehearsal signaling, and exposes a gap in partner messaging that has not explicitly addressed the new operational threshold.
| ID | Title | Category | Date | Views | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RPT-510 | Justice Mission 2025: PLA Blockade Signaling Near Taiwan and the Emerging Cycle of Counter-Readiness | PLA | 2026-02-01 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-466 | PLA ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Signals Intensified Blockade-Rehearsal Posture Around Taiwan | Taiwan Strait | 2026-02-01 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-1263 | PLA ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Drills Near Taiwan Signal Route-Denial Focus and Deterrence Messaging | Taiwan Strait | 2025-10-19 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-621 | PLA Drills Shift the Pressure Line: Taiwan’s Contiguous Zone Becomes the New Flashpoint | Taiwan Strait | 2025-08-25 | 0 | ACCESS » |